David Kim Group

April 2026 Bay Area Market Update & Trends

Market Update David Kim April 20, 2026

Shrugging Off War, Buyer Demand Continues to Strengthen Moving Deeper Into Spring

Despite significant negative economic effects from the Iran war–rising interest rates, volatile financial markets, soaring oil and gas prices, and fears of increased inflation–Bay Area real estate markets saw relatively little impact in March. What effects that occurred usually impacted less expensive markets more sensitive to interest rate increases. So far, there has been no reaction comparable to what occurred last year with the tariff shock, and as of April 8th, virtually all economic indicators were turning in positive directions with the cease fire announcement.

The numbers of new listings, listings for sale and listings going into contract in March climbed substantially from February. Overbidding increased and listings sold faster. The second quarter is usually the most active of the year, often seeing the highest median sales prices.

As has been the case for the last 2 years, affluent markets typically remained more heated than less expensive markets, the house and townhouse markets considerably stronger than condo markets.

 

The cost of entry varies wildly across the county, from entry-level neighborhoods to elite luxury areas.

Santa Clara County chart of median house prices by community, from $5.438 million in Los Altos Hills to $1.052 million in Alum Rock.

 

 

Inventory is climbing rapidly, providing more options for buyers even as the market remains historically tight.

Santa Clara County 2026 year-to-date home sales by price segment, with percentages and a property-type breakdown.

Chart of Santa Clara County new listings by month, January 2021–March 2026, showing seasonal fluctuations. 

Santa Clara County active and coming-soon home listings chart, February 2022 to April 2026.

 

 

Buyer demand remains high enough to drive overbidding, particularly for single-family homes.

Chart of Santa Clara County quarterly median house prices from 2015 to Q1 2026, with boom-period annotations.

Santa Clara County townhouse price chart, with quarterly median sales prices from 2016 through Q1 2026.

Santa Clara County condo price chart shows quarterly median sales prices, 2016–Q1 2026.

Santa Clara County active-listing months-supply chart, 2018–2026, updated through March 2026.

Chart of Santa Clara County sale prices versus original list prices, January 2019–March 2026, with monthly trends and market annotations.

Chart of Santa Clara County luxury home sales from 2020 to March 2026, highlighting pandemic and AI booms.

 

Outside forces like global conflict and interest rate volatility are the primary "wild cards" for 2026.

 Chart of Nasdaq and S&P 500 percentage changes from January 2025 to April 2026, with market-event annotations.

 Chart of weekly 30-year mortgage rates, August 2022–2026 YTD, with notes on tariff and Iran war effects.

Crude oil price chart from February to April 2026, with spikes after the Iran war begins and a cease-fire announcement.

 

Questions? Reach out to us at (650) 988-5114.

 

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